Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.044127 0.051592 0.059807 0.069498 0.080601 0.092906 0.107554
2025-03-09 0.032881 0.042612 0.054328 0.069402 0.088199 0.110779 0.139863
2025-03-16 0.024380 0.034681 0.048127 0.066799 0.091863 0.124125 0.168535
2025-03-23 0.020342 0.031401 0.046884 0.069842 0.102639 0.147359 0.212391
2025-03-30 0.016630 0.027695 0.044222 0.070233 0.109536 0.165947 0.252041
2025-04-06 0.013353 0.023897 0.040634 0.068480 0.112783 0.179413 0.285645
2025-04-13 0.010945 0.020954 0.037767 0.067206 0.116298 0.193314 0.321004
2025-04-20 0.009831 0.019969 0.037859 0.070596 0.127429 0.219839 0.378190
2025-04-27 0.008780 0.018873 0.037538 0.073145 0.137332 0.245229 0.435837
2025-05-04 0.007334 0.016724 0.034951 0.071242 0.139218 0.257399 0.472671
2025-05-11 0.006291 0.015169 0.033204 0.070573 0.143096 0.273140 0.516746
2025-05-18 0.005271 0.013446 0.030835 0.068324 0.143682 0.282988 0.551195
2025-05-25 0.004453 0.012027 0.028897 0.066739 0.145500 0.295525 0.592224
2025-06-01 0.003939 0.011217 0.028127 0.067456 0.151930 0.317236 0.652106
2025-06-08 0.003307 0.009971 0.026171 0.065325 0.152272 0.327306 0.690911
2025-06-15 0.003092 0.009762 0.026586 0.068523 0.164159 0.361067 0.778320
2025-06-22 0.002750 0.009132 0.025875 0.069020 0.170239 0.383676 0.845557
2025-06-29 0.002351 0.008239 0.024351 0.067350 0.171280 0.395973 0.892971
2025-07-06 0.002030 0.007499 0.023088 0.066124 0.173153 0.410121 0.945272
2025-07-13 0.001927 0.007424 0.023607 0.069479 0.186134 0.449232 1.053026
2025-07-20 0.001801 0.007242 0.023797 0.072001 0.197371 0.485432 1.157253
2025-07-27 0.001548 0.006558 0.022420 0.070128 0.197599 0.497059 1.208985
2025-08-03 0.001364 0.006070 0.021535 0.069471 0.200787 0.515649 1.277478